May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. In other words, as this infographic figures it,. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. Scripture says. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Yes, it is clear the 'opportunity' of born is complete chance and luck. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. Or are we some mysterious combination of impossible and inevitable? He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. An unimaginably long time. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Then the probability of Mr. Thank you, Monsignor. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Step 2. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Which ones bigger? I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. June 5. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. Based on the data from the CDC . A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Are they gross exaggerations? "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. Step 1. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Whoa. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. This includes personalizing content and advertising. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Step 4. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. Are they gross exaggerations? The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. One in 2,000. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Or is it possible that they are underestimates of the true number? It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Which one's bigger? By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Step 1. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. alex mendez political party; land for sale bundaberg repossessed houses; how does macbeth and banquo's relationship change; skyking richard russell Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Is that an African fly or a European one? Same to all of us. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. I think that was exactly Msgr. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. You can start the series by clicking HERE. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future .

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