Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. In the main event, former light Nate Silver's. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. RSS Loading. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection Don't Look Great. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. File Upload. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines The Negro League Stars That MLB Kept Out And Is Finally Recognizing. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. They also ask why support for gun control measures hasn't translated into new laws and look at steps the Pew Research Center is taking to ensure they have a representative sample of Republicans in their panel surveys. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. 266, the . They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. All. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. Nevada Democrats introduced a bill on Monday that would change their state's presidential nominating contest from a caucus to a primary and also dislodge New Hampshire from its position as the first primary in the nation. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. 0:00:00 James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. Dive in and Share your insights! Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. r/fivethirtyeight. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. The Rules of the Game podcast discusses and compares democratic institutions from around the world. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments.

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